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Monday, July 28, 2008
Russia to set new record with 8-billion-dollar arms sales in 2008
Russia already has several contracts ready to ship its military hardware to Venezuela, Saudi Arabia and several other countries. Alexander Fomin, the chairman of the Russian official delegation at Farnborough International Airshow, said that Russia was currently conducting defense cooperation talks with Saudi Arabia. The country is interested in buying Russian transport and battle choppers and air defense system
It was previously reported that Rosoboronexport, Russia’s major defense export corporation, was working on a four-billion-dollar contract with Saudi Arabia. The preliminary arrangement to purchase arms from Russia was achieved in November 2007 during Putin’s meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdel Aziz Al Saud in the Kremlin.
Russia also conducts active defense cooperation talks with Venezuela.
“We have several contracts with this country and we plan to sign more of them in the future,” Alexander Fomin said.
Russia also plans to deliver about 70 airborne radars Zhuk-ME for MiG-29 jet fighters of the Indian Air Force.
The Federal Defense Cooperation Service of the Russian Federation said that export shipments of Russian arms and military hardware in 2008 would set a new record for the country and bring the profit of over 8 billion dollars. Last year Russia sold arms in the sum of $7.4 billion. Aviation still takes the lead in the export shipments.
Oil prices rise as pipelines attacked in Nigeria
LONDON, United Kingdom -- Oil prices rose Monday as rebels said they had sabotaged two pipelines in Nigeria, which is a major exporter of crude.
Brent North Sea crude for September climbed 89 cents to $125.41 a barrel.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for September delivery, advanced by 92 cents to $124.18 a barrel.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) claimed Monday that it had sabotaged two Shell pipelines in Rivers state in southern Nigeria overnight.
In an email, it said "heavily armed" MEND fighters had attacked the pipelines at Kula and Rumuekpe operated by Shell Petroleum Development at 1:15 am (0015 GMT).
Contacted by AFP, two Shell spokesmen said the claim and the extent of damages were being verified.
Word of the sabotage came after the release on Saturday of eight foreign workers who had been kidnapped near a major oil export terminal in southern Nigeria with no ransom paid.
The oil-rich Niger Delta has seen numerous kidnappings targeting foreign energy firms, claimed by militants demanding a greater share of oil wealth for the region's inhabitants.
Violence in the southern region has reduced Nigeria's total oil production by a quarter since January 2006.
Nigeria was Africa's biggest oil producer until it was overtaken in April by Angola, according to Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries figures
Brent North Sea crude for September climbed 89 cents to $125.41 a barrel.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for September delivery, advanced by 92 cents to $124.18 a barrel.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) claimed Monday that it had sabotaged two Shell pipelines in Rivers state in southern Nigeria overnight.
In an email, it said "heavily armed" MEND fighters had attacked the pipelines at Kula and Rumuekpe operated by Shell Petroleum Development at 1:15 am (0015 GMT).
Contacted by AFP, two Shell spokesmen said the claim and the extent of damages were being verified.
Word of the sabotage came after the release on Saturday of eight foreign workers who had been kidnapped near a major oil export terminal in southern Nigeria with no ransom paid.
The oil-rich Niger Delta has seen numerous kidnappings targeting foreign energy firms, claimed by militants demanding a greater share of oil wealth for the region's inhabitants.
Violence in the southern region has reduced Nigeria's total oil production by a quarter since January 2006.
Nigeria was Africa's biggest oil producer until it was overtaken in April by Angola, according to Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries figures
Shares close higher in thin trade on Wall Street rebound
MANILA, Philippines – (UPDATE) Shares closed higher Monday, buoyed by positive overseas leads such as Wall Street's rebound on Friday on better-than-expected economic data and oil futures trading below $124 a barrel.
But trading was subdued and turnover thin as investors continued to worry about inflation and the US economy.
"We don't expect to see serious buying in such a very volatile market. Investors are still waiting for the right time to get in," said Nestor Aguila, president of DA Market Securities.
The 30-company composite index closed up 28.09 points or 1.1 percent to 2,540.81. The all-share index rose 13.54 points or 0.9 percent to 1,594.43.
There were 47 advancers and 33 decliners, while 48 were unchanged.
Shares worth P1.7 billion changed hands, leaner than Friday's turnover of P1.9 billion.
Oil rose in Asian trade on Monday in a technical rebound from a seven-week low but remained below $124.
A barrel of US light crude for September delivery rose 46 cents to $123.72, after falling $2.23 on Friday to settle at $123.26 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The contract, which hit an all-time peak above $147 on July 11, fell to as low as $122.50 on Friday, the lowest since June 5.
US stocks rose Friday after the Commerce Department reported that orders sent to US factories for big-ticket manufactured goods such as cars, appliances and machinery grew 0.8 percent in June, the strongest gain in four months and well ahead of Wall Street's expectations.
Another Commerce Department report showed new US home sales dropped by a smaller-than-expected 0.6 percent.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 21.41 or 0.19 percent to 11,370.69 Friday. It fell more than 280 points on Thursday.
Analysts said investors were also reluctant to make big moves ahead of the state-of-the-nation address by President Gloria Arroyo later in the day.
"Investors are not expecting any dramatic policy statements that would shake the market," said Jose Vistan Jr., research director at AB Capital Securities.
"However, if there are more subsidies for the poor, that would be bad for the market. Subsidies would eat up government resources, put pressure on its fiscal position, and it will affect a lot of sectors down the line," he said.
Index leader Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. rose 1.6 percent to P2,495, tracking the hefty 4.4-percent gain by its American Depositary Receipts on Friday.
Recently battered banks rose led by Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., which was up 4.4 percent at P36. Banco de Oro Unibank gained 2.6 percent to P40 and Bank of the Philippine Islands advanced 1.2 percent to P41.
Jollibee Foods Corp. fell 4.1 percent to P35.50 following recent gains. The nation's largest fast food chain operator said Monday its wholly owned subsidiary Jollibee Worldwide Pte. Ltd. has signed an agreement to acquire a 12-percent equity interest in US-based Chow Fun Holdings LLC for $950,000.
($1 = P44.00)
But trading was subdued and turnover thin as investors continued to worry about inflation and the US economy.
"We don't expect to see serious buying in such a very volatile market. Investors are still waiting for the right time to get in," said Nestor Aguila, president of DA Market Securities.
The 30-company composite index closed up 28.09 points or 1.1 percent to 2,540.81. The all-share index rose 13.54 points or 0.9 percent to 1,594.43.
There were 47 advancers and 33 decliners, while 48 were unchanged.
Shares worth P1.7 billion changed hands, leaner than Friday's turnover of P1.9 billion.
Oil rose in Asian trade on Monday in a technical rebound from a seven-week low but remained below $124.
A barrel of US light crude for September delivery rose 46 cents to $123.72, after falling $2.23 on Friday to settle at $123.26 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The contract, which hit an all-time peak above $147 on July 11, fell to as low as $122.50 on Friday, the lowest since June 5.
US stocks rose Friday after the Commerce Department reported that orders sent to US factories for big-ticket manufactured goods such as cars, appliances and machinery grew 0.8 percent in June, the strongest gain in four months and well ahead of Wall Street's expectations.
Another Commerce Department report showed new US home sales dropped by a smaller-than-expected 0.6 percent.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 21.41 or 0.19 percent to 11,370.69 Friday. It fell more than 280 points on Thursday.
Analysts said investors were also reluctant to make big moves ahead of the state-of-the-nation address by President Gloria Arroyo later in the day.
"Investors are not expecting any dramatic policy statements that would shake the market," said Jose Vistan Jr., research director at AB Capital Securities.
"However, if there are more subsidies for the poor, that would be bad for the market. Subsidies would eat up government resources, put pressure on its fiscal position, and it will affect a lot of sectors down the line," he said.
Index leader Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. rose 1.6 percent to P2,495, tracking the hefty 4.4-percent gain by its American Depositary Receipts on Friday.
Recently battered banks rose led by Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., which was up 4.4 percent at P36. Banco de Oro Unibank gained 2.6 percent to P40 and Bank of the Philippine Islands advanced 1.2 percent to P41.
Jollibee Foods Corp. fell 4.1 percent to P35.50 following recent gains. The nation's largest fast food chain operator said Monday its wholly owned subsidiary Jollibee Worldwide Pte. Ltd. has signed an agreement to acquire a 12-percent equity interest in US-based Chow Fun Holdings LLC for $950,000.
($1 = P44.00)
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Shares higher in mid-trade on falling oil prices
MANILA, Philippines -- Shares were higher halfway through Wednesday's session as falling oil prices encouraged bargain-hunting in blue chips.
At 10:35 a.m. (0235 GMT), the 30-company composite index was up 31.19 points or 1.3 percent to 2,441.17.
The broader all-share index advanced 16.41 points or 1.1 percent to 1,545.15.
"The rally is being underpinned by falling oil prices, it could be in the process of getting the air out of that bubble," said Francisco Liboro, president of PCCI Securities.
"If prices drop below $120 a barrel, it's confirmation of the bubble bursting."
Light, sweet crude for August delivery was down $3.09 to $127.95 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange Tuesday amid a perceived decline in US oil demand and expectations that a hurricane coursing through the Gulf of Mexico would spare most offshore oil production there.
The closing price was nearly $20.00 down from a record high of $147.27 in recent weeks.
"The recent hefty oil price drop eases pressure on the economy. It is going to be very beneficial for companies and the economy, in general, if the decline would be sustained in the next few days. It will boost optimism that the uptrend (in oil prices) has been broken," said PCCI's Liboro.
"The question is how much volume there is in the (stock) market. A bigger volume means investors are convinced it is worth re-entering the market."
Soaring oil prices have hit the Philippines hard as the country imports nearly all of its oil requirements.
The Philippine central bank has warned inflation may remain at double-digit levels this year due to escalating food and energy costs, before it eases in 2009. The bank raised key interest rates last week by half a percentage point, the second increase in two months, to combat inflation, which hit a 14-year high of 11.4 percent in June.
Index leader Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. gave up early gains, shedding 0.4 percent to P2,400.
Conglomerate Ayala Corp. rose 1.9 percent to P267.50.
Financial issues led advancers, with second-ranked Banco de Oro Unibank rallying 5.4 percent to P39.
Bank of the Philippine Islands, the country's third largest bank climbed 3.9 percent to P40.50. Top-ranked Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. jumped 4.7 percent to P33.50.
Among property stocks, Megaworld Corp., the nation's second biggest property developer, surged 6.6 percent to P1.30.
($1 = P44.40)
Oil near six-week low on demand woes
SINGAPORE -- Oil prices held near a six-week low on Wednesday, as worries increased over dwindling US demand at the same time as fears eased hurricane Dolly would deal a major blow to oil and gas supply.
A rebound in the dollar on the back of comments from a Federal Reserve official suggesting US interest rates may have to rise also reduced the appeal of commodities, prompting investors to exit oil.
US light crude for September delivery fell 12 cents to $128.30 a barrel after it fell as low as $125.63 a barrel in intraday trading on Tuesday -- its weakest since early June.
London Brent crude slipped 25 cents to trade at $129.30 a barrel by 0112 GMT.
The fall in US crude extended losses from the July 11 record high over $147 a barrel that marked the steepest price fall in dollar terms in oil's history -- leading some analysts to question how soon the market will resume its six-year rally.
"The decline in oil prices reflects concerns that slower economic growth in the US and high oil prices are crimping oil demand," said David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
Mounting economic woes in the United States and continued lackluster energy demand from the world's biggest consumer nation were key factors behind the drop in oil prices, dealers said.
Oil is, however, still up almost 30 percent this year and more than six times higher than in 2002, in a rally driven by booming demand from fast-growing Asian economies such as China.
Remarks by Philadelphia Fed president Charles Plosser that rising inflation could force the Fed to start raising interest rates even before financial markets recover amid a surge in inflation, supported the dollar, in turn, hitting crude.
Further alleviating supply concerns, hurricane Dolly was expected to make landfall well away from the most sensitive offshore platforms, even after it was upgraded to the Atlantic season's second hurricane late Tuesday.
US Gulf of Mexico producers shut 5.0 percent of oil and natural gas production Tuesday but those shutdowns were expected to be short-lived.
Market attention was also on US data due later on Wednesday, which are expected to show crude stocks falling by 700,000 barrels, according to a Reuters poll.
Refinery utilization was little changed at around 89.5 percent of capacity but inputs of feedstock, or crude runs, likely dropped, some of the polled analysts said.
The US Energy Information Administration will release its inventory report for the week to July 18 at 1435 GMT
Central bank hints at further rise in key rates
The central bank, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), said Tuesday robust domestic demand would keep the economy buoyant despite fast-rising consumer prices, which gives it room to further raise benchmark interest rates.
BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said at a news briefing that he did not see domestic output sagging even if money supply growth had slowed down because of the recent increase in the central bank’s interest rates.
“If you look at sources of growth, it’s not too capital-intensive, so it’s really not that much affected directly by credit conditions,” Tetangco said.
An earlier report to the policymaking Monetary Board of the BSP said growth in the broadly defined money supply fell to about five percent in April, nearly half the expansion in March.
One of the key indicators closely watched by the BSP in managing inflation, domestic liquidity, or m3, refers to the total supply of money within the economy.
The BSP has not released the official figure on domestic liquidity growth. Tetangco said data were still being validated, given recent changes in the format for banks’ reporting of outstanding loans.
In the past two months, the BSP raised its overnight borrowing rate by a total of 0.75 percentage point to 5.75 percent in view of sharper-than-expected price shocks.
Monetary tightening normally takes more than a year to be fully felt, but Tetangco said monetary action would have immediate impact.
The governor said the economy could withstand its recent monetary tightening.
“If you look at demand conditions, they continue to be buoyant,” he told reporters. “If you look at historical trend in [overseas Filipinos’ cash] remittances, for instance, if inflows rise this quarter, the impact on consumption will be felt in the next quarter.”
He agreed that the overseas Filipino remittance engine was one of the factors giving the central bank room to navigate the difficult economic environment this year
ADB cuts growth forecast for ASEAN
The Asian Development Bank on Tuesday, warning that higher inflation would continue to plague much of Southeast Asia on record-high fuel and food prices, lowered its economic growth forecast for the region by one percentage point and prodded central banks to tighten monetary policy to control price surges.
In the July issue of its semiannual Asia Economic Monitor, the ADB said the region’s slowing yet solid growth outlook remained vulnerable to a higher-than-expected spike in inflation, protracted slowdown in the United States and any further tremor in global financial markets.
The ADB cut its growth projection for the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to 5.5 percent this year.
It forecast the same growth rate for the Philippines in 2008 and 5.6 percent in 2009.
The report said economic expansion in three of the four big-population ASEAN countries—the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand—was expected to slow down.
For the Philippines, which posted a 31-year-high growth in gross domestic product (GDP) of 7.2 percent in 2007, the report said “the outlook has weakened on the deteriorating external environment: softer global demand for exports and soaring rice and fuel prices dampen consumer spending.”
It predicted that Thailand’s economic growth would accelerate to 5.0 percent this year from 4.8 percent in 2007, as fiscal spending and a largely accommodative monetary stance would help curb the slowdown in export growth.
It said Indonesia’s GDP growth would slow down with slackening export growth, but buoyant consumption and strong investment with some fiscal easing were expected to help support growth of about 6.0 percent this year and next.
Malaysian economic growth is projected to slow down to 5.4 percent this year from 6.3 percent last year as industrial activity softens, particularly in the manufacturing sector, undermined by weaker US demand for consumer electronics, the report said.
“In Indonesia, the Philippines and Taipei, China, the 2008 ADB growth forecast for GDP remains higher than the long-term average trend growth in the last eight years,” it said. “However, all of these economies now have higher inflation forecasts for 2008 compared with the latest target/official forecasts, suggesting that inflation risks have been elevated together with heightened inflation expectations.”
Fall in oil inspires gains in Asia stocks
HONG KONG -- Oil prices Wednesday slipped $20 below an all-time high hit two weeks ago, helping to lift Asian stocks and weigh on government bonds as investors cautiously reached for higher returns as well as more risk.
Crude was trading around $128.38 a barrel after having closed Tuesday at its lowest since June 5 partly on fears about waning US demand. That helped ease immediate concerns about high energy costs, though soft consumer demand continues to be a worry.
On the earnings front, results from some Wall Street banks were not as dire as analysts had predicted. Investors then broadened their focus to other sectors, with announcements on Friday expected from Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. and Honda Motor Co.
"We're just seeing a temporary bright patch," said Yoku Ihara, manager of the investment information department at Retela Crea Securities. "It's still far too early to let down our guard."
Japan's Nikkei share average rose 1.3 percent to the highest in two weeks. If the index keeps its gains on the day, it will be the first time since April that the Nikkei has had back-to-back gains of at least 1.0 percent.
Outside of Japan, shares in the Asia-Pacific region climbed 1.0 percent to the highest in three weeks.
South Korea's KOSPI was up 1.6 percent, led by gains in the world's fourth-largest steel maker POSCO.
Despite investors' increasing willingness to buy riskier assets lately, high inflation continues to dangle a sword over Asia.
The combination of rising price pressures and slowing growth was a big factor in the nearly $4.0 trillion in market capitalization that has evaporated since November, Morgan Stanley said.
NOT ONE-WAY RISE FOR DOLLAR
Underlying inflation in Australia was at the highest in almost 17 years in the second quarter, suggesting the central bank may have to keep interest rates where they are despite threats to growth.
Yields on safe-haven government bond yields, which move inversely to prices, edged higher as the MSCI all-country world equities index appeared poised for a sixth straight day of gains, the longest string since May.
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield ticked up to 4.11 percent, up a basis point from late Tuesday in New York and 8 basis points higher on the year.
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose 3 basis points to 1.64 percent.
The US dollar stayed firm, holding much of the ground gained against the euro and yen the previous day after Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said a strong dollar was "really very important," a variation on his usual comments about the currency.
"The dollar broke through some key levels and has upside momentum," said Motonari Ogawa, director of forex trading at Barclays Bank in Tokyo. "But Japanese exporter selling could emerge at these levels, and it won't be a one-way rise for the dollar," said Ogawa.
The dollar was up 0.1 percent at 107.32 yen. The euro was little changed at $1.57832 and flat against the yen at 169.38, not far from a record high 169.91 yen hit on Monday.
Dollar nudges higher against yen in Asia
TOKYO, Japan -- The dollar rose slightly against the yen in Asian trade Wednesday, propped up by a drop in oil prices and renewed speculation about possible US interest rate rises, dealers said.
The US currency was at 107.35 yen in Tokyo morning trade after 107.25 in New York late Tuesday.
The euro was steady at $1.5782 against $1.5781 while rising to 169.47 yen from 169.27.
"A fall in oil prices is the main reason for the stronger dollar, along with hawkish comments by the Philadelphia Fed," said Kanako Oikawa, a currency strategist at Traders Securities.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve president Charles Plosser warned in a speech that a hike in US interest rates was unavoidable in the short-term in the face of inflation pressures.
While Plosser is seen as one of the most hawkish members of the Fed's rate-setting committee, his remarks rekindled speculation about possible US rate hikes that could boost the dollar, dealers said.
Investors generally prefer currencies offering higher yields.
US stocks staged a late rally Tuesday on easing worries about high energy costs and renewed interest in the battered financial sector.
The dollar also found support from US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who reiterated Washington's preference for a strong currency and renewed his backing for troubled US mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
But worries about the health of the US economy have not been completely erased and whether the dollar can rise above 108 yen depends on movements in stock markets and oil prices, Oikawa said.
The US currency was at 107.35 yen in Tokyo morning trade after 107.25 in New York late Tuesday.
The euro was steady at $1.5782 against $1.5781 while rising to 169.47 yen from 169.27.
"A fall in oil prices is the main reason for the stronger dollar, along with hawkish comments by the Philadelphia Fed," said Kanako Oikawa, a currency strategist at Traders Securities.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve president Charles Plosser warned in a speech that a hike in US interest rates was unavoidable in the short-term in the face of inflation pressures.
While Plosser is seen as one of the most hawkish members of the Fed's rate-setting committee, his remarks rekindled speculation about possible US rate hikes that could boost the dollar, dealers said.
Investors generally prefer currencies offering higher yields.
US stocks staged a late rally Tuesday on easing worries about high energy costs and renewed interest in the battered financial sector.
The dollar also found support from US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who reiterated Washington's preference for a strong currency and renewed his backing for troubled US mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
But worries about the health of the US economy have not been completely erased and whether the dollar can rise above 108 yen depends on movements in stock markets and oil prices, Oikawa said.
Dollar stable versus euro, yen
The dollar steadied in European trading on Tuesday as worries about resurgent oil prices offset relief that major US banks' earnings were not so bad as feared, dealers said.
Attention was also being given to the latest US house price index due Tuesday, that was expected to show a continued decline, they added.
In morning deals, the European single currency stood at 1.5921 dollars, unchanged from late on Monday in New York.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar edged up to 106.45 yen from 106.41.
"For the dollar, the fortunes of the banking system remain critical to sentiment," said Calyon economist Daragh Maher.
The dollar had won a boost overnight after Bank of America posted a quarterly profit well above expectations, further soothing jitters about US financial woes after last week's smaller-than-expected loss at Citigroup.
But gains in the dollar were short-lived as oil prices, which plunged more than 16 dollars a barrel in New York last week, surged higher as a tropical storm barrelled through the Gulf of Mexico, threatening energy installations.
A week ago, worries about the US financial sector had sent the euro soaring to a historic peak of 1.6038 dollars.
The euro continued to be supported by the higher level of interest rates in the eurozone compared with those in the United States and Japan because investors generally prefer currencies offering better yields, dealers said.
Traders returning to work in Tokyo on Tuesday after Monday's public holiday in Japan meanwhile opted to wait for fresh leads after a rebound in oil prices counter-balanced easing concern about problems in the US financial sector.
"The direction of the dollar against the yen remains unclear," said Saburo Matsumoto, chief foreign exchange strategist at Sumitomo Trust Bank.
Dealers were also monitoring trading in the euro against the yen.
"We're interested in watching when the yen will hit a new low" beyond 170 per euro, said Matsumoto.
The pound steadied after coming under pressure a day earlier when Bank of England policy-maker David Blanchflower had warned that the British economy was heading into recession and that interest rates should fall to "well below" their current level of 5.0 percent.
In London morning trade on Tuesday, the euro changed hands at 1.5921 dollars against 1.5921 late on Monday, at 169.52 yen (169.42), 0.7947 pounds (0.7947) and 1.6187 Swiss francs (1.6206).
The dollar stood at 106.45 yen (106.41) and 1.0166 Swiss francs (1.0176).
The pound was at 2.0039 dollars (2.0032).
On the London Bullion Market, the price of gold increased to 972.93 dollars per ounce from 960.50 dollars late on Monday.
Attention was also being given to the latest US house price index due Tuesday, that was expected to show a continued decline, they added.
In morning deals, the European single currency stood at 1.5921 dollars, unchanged from late on Monday in New York.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar edged up to 106.45 yen from 106.41.
"For the dollar, the fortunes of the banking system remain critical to sentiment," said Calyon economist Daragh Maher.
The dollar had won a boost overnight after Bank of America posted a quarterly profit well above expectations, further soothing jitters about US financial woes after last week's smaller-than-expected loss at Citigroup.
But gains in the dollar were short-lived as oil prices, which plunged more than 16 dollars a barrel in New York last week, surged higher as a tropical storm barrelled through the Gulf of Mexico, threatening energy installations.
A week ago, worries about the US financial sector had sent the euro soaring to a historic peak of 1.6038 dollars.
The euro continued to be supported by the higher level of interest rates in the eurozone compared with those in the United States and Japan because investors generally prefer currencies offering better yields, dealers said.
Traders returning to work in Tokyo on Tuesday after Monday's public holiday in Japan meanwhile opted to wait for fresh leads after a rebound in oil prices counter-balanced easing concern about problems in the US financial sector.
"The direction of the dollar against the yen remains unclear," said Saburo Matsumoto, chief foreign exchange strategist at Sumitomo Trust Bank.
Dealers were also monitoring trading in the euro against the yen.
"We're interested in watching when the yen will hit a new low" beyond 170 per euro, said Matsumoto.
The pound steadied after coming under pressure a day earlier when Bank of England policy-maker David Blanchflower had warned that the British economy was heading into recession and that interest rates should fall to "well below" their current level of 5.0 percent.
In London morning trade on Tuesday, the euro changed hands at 1.5921 dollars against 1.5921 late on Monday, at 169.52 yen (169.42), 0.7947 pounds (0.7947) and 1.6187 Swiss francs (1.6206).
The dollar stood at 106.45 yen (106.41) and 1.0166 Swiss francs (1.0176).
The pound was at 2.0039 dollars (2.0032).
On the London Bullion Market, the price of gold increased to 972.93 dollars per ounce from 960.50 dollars late on Monday.
Euro
The euro (currency sign: €; currency code: EUR) is the official currency of the European Union (EU). Fifteen member states have adopted it, known collectively as the Eurozone (Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain). The currency is also used in five further countries with formal agreements and six other countries without such agreements. Hence it is the single currency for over 320 million Europeans.Including areas using currencies pegged to the euro, the euro directly affects close to 500 million people worldwide.[2] With more than €610 billion in circulation as of December 2006 (equivalent to US$802 billion at the exchange rates at the time), the euro is the currency with the highest combined value of cash in circulation in the world, having surpassed the U.S. dollar (USD
Taking official estimates of 2007 GDP, the Eurozone is the largest economy in the world by March 2008 after the USD/EUR exchange rate surpassed 1.56
The euro was introduced to world financial markets as an accounting currency in 1999 and launched as physical coins and banknotes on 1 January 2002. It replaced the former European Currency Unit (ECU) at a ratio of 1:1.
Taking official estimates of 2007 GDP, the Eurozone is the largest economy in the world by March 2008 after the USD/EUR exchange rate surpassed 1.56
The euro was introduced to world financial markets as an accounting currency in 1999 and launched as physical coins and banknotes on 1 January 2002. It replaced the former European Currency Unit (ECU) at a ratio of 1:1.
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Indian rupee
The rupee (Hindi: रुपया) is the currency of India. The issuance of the currency is controlled by the Reserve Bank of India. The most commonly used symbols for the rupee are Rs, ₨ and रू. The ISO 4217 code for the Indian rupee is INR. The modern rupee is subdivided into 100 paise (singular paisa).
In most parts of India, the rupee is known as the rupee, roopayi (à°°ూà°ªాà°¯ి) (ರೂಪಾಯಿ), rupaye, rubai (à®°ூபாய்) or one of the other terms derived from the Sanskrit rupyakam (Devnagari: रूप्यकं), raupya meaning silver; rupyakam meaning (coin) of silver. However, in West Bengal, Tripura, Orissa, and Assam, the Indian rupee is officially known by names derived from the Sanskrit á¹anka. Thus, the rupee is called টাকা á¹aka in Bengali, টকা tôka in Assamese, and ଟଙ୍କା á¹Ã´ngka in Oriya, with the symbol ৳, and is written as such on Indian banknote
Dollar
The dollar (often represented by the dollar sign: "$") is the name of the official currency in several countries, dependencies and other world regions.
The German name Thaler came from the Bohemian coin minted from the silver from a rich mine at Joachimsthal - Jáchymov (St. Joachim's Valley) in Bohemia (a member of the Holy Roman Empire beginning in 1515, since 1945 part of the Czech Republic). Not long after issuance, these coins gained the name Joachimsthalers. From there, coins gained the name "thaler" regardless of the issuing authority. The basis of "thaler" comes from Joachimsthaler. The name is historically related to the tolar, in Germany Reichsthaler, Slovenia (Slovenian tolar) and Bohemia, the daalder in the Netherlands and daler in Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. "Guildiner" can be traced to 1486 when Archduke Sigismund of Tyrol, a small state north of Venice, issued a dollar-sized coin which was referred to as a "guildiner". Silver supplies were small which limited coinage.
The Dutch lion dollar circulated throughout the Middle East and was imitated in several German and Italian cities. It was also popular in the Dutch East Indies as well as in the Dutch New Netherlands Colony (New York). The lion dollar also has circulated throughout the English colonies during the 17th and early 18th centuries. Examples circulating in the colonies were usually fairly well worn so that the design was not fully distinguishable, thus they were sometimes referred to as "dog dollars." This Dutch currency made its way to the east coast due to the increased trading by colonial ships with other nations. By the mid-1700s, it was replaced by the Spanish 8 reales.
The name "Spanish dollar" was used for a Spanish coin, the "real de a ocho" and later peso, worth eight reals (hence the nickname "pieces of eight"), which was widely circulated during the 18th century in the Spanish colonies in the New World and in Spanish territories in Asia, namely in the Philippines.The use of the Spanish dollar and the Maria Theresa thaler as legal tender for the early United States and its fractions were the mainstay of commerce. They are the reasons for the name of the nation's currency.[citation needed] By the American Revolution in 1775, these Spanish currency became even more important. They were backed by paper money authorized by the individual colonies and the Continental Congress. However, the word dollar was in use in the English language as slang or mis-pronunciation for the thaler for about 200 years before the American Revolution, with many quotes in the plays of Shakespeare referring to dollars as money. Spanish dollars were in circulation in the Thirteen Colonies that became the United States, and were legal tender in Virginia.
Coins known as dollars were also in use in Scotland during the 17th century, and there is a claim that the use of the English word, and perhaps even the use of the coin, began at the University of St Andrews. This explains the sum of 'Ten thousand dollars' mentioned in Macbeth (Act I, Scene II), although the real Macbeth upon whom the play was based lived in the 11th century, making the reference anachronistic; however this is not rare in Shakespeare's work.
In the early 19th century, a British five-shilling piece, or crown, was sometimes called a dollar, probably because its appearance was similar to the Spanish dollar. This expression appeared again in the 1940s, when U.S. troops came to the UK during World War II. At the time a U.S. dollar was worth about 5s., so some of the U.S. soldiers started calling it a dollar. Consequently, they called the half crown "half a dollar", and the expression caught on among some locals and could be heard into the 1960s.
In the early days of the United States, the term "Dollar" was commonly known as a coin minted by Spain called the Spanish Milled Dollar. These coins were the standard money then in use in the country. On April 2, 1792 Alexander Hamilton, then the Secretary of the Treasury, made a report to congress that were the result of his task to scientifically determine the amount of silver in the Spanish Milled Dollar coins that were then in current use by the people. As a result of this report, the Dollar was defined (See the Act of April 2, A.D. 1792 of the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, Section 9) as a unit of measure of 371 4/16th grains of pure silver or 416 grains of standard silver. (Standard silver being defined as 1,485 parts fine silver to 179 parts alloy; See Section 13 of the Act.). Therefor paper is not the dollar, instead, it is 'worth', not 'is', 1 dollar (U.S Silver certificate.) In section 20 the Act, it is specified that the "money of account" of the United States shall be expressed in those same "dollars" or parts thereof. All of the minor coins were also defined in terms of percentages of the primary coin the dollar such that a half dollar contained 1/2 as much silver as a dollar, quarter dollars, 1/4th etc. In an act passed on January 18, 1837 the alloy was changed to 10% thus having the effect of containing the same amount of silver but being reduced in weight to 412 1/4 grains of standard silver which was changed to 90% pure and 10% alloy. On February 21, 1853 the amount of silver in the fractional coins was reduced so that it was no longer possible to combine the fractional coins to come up with the same amount of silver that was in the dollar. Various acts have been passed over the years that affected the amount and type of metal in the coins minted by the United States such that today, there is no legal definition of the term "Dollar" to be found in any Statute of the United States. [Sources for this paragraph include the United States Statutes at Large, A Guide Book of United States Coins by R.S. Yeoman, MONEY - Ye shall have honest weights and measures by James E. Ewart.
Today the closest definition to a dollar comes from the United States code Title 31, Section 5116, paragraph b, subsection 2, "The Secretary [of the Treasury] shall sell silver under conditions the Secretary considers appropriate for at least $1.292929292 a fine troy ounce." However Federal Reserve banks are only prejudiced to deliver tax credits instead of money. The silver content of U.S. coinage was mostly removed in 1965 and the dollar essentially became a baseless free-floating fiat currency; though the U.S. Mint continues to make silver $1 bullion coins at this weight. It is believed that the original green color and other specific designs of a paper dollar were introduced by 2 Armenian brothers from Massachusetts who were Near-Eastern immigrants
History
The origin of currency is the creation of a circulating medium of exchange based on a unit of account which quickly becomes a store of value. Currency evolved from two basic innovations: the use of counters to assure that shipments arrived with the same goods that were shipped, and later with the use of silver ingots to represent stored value in the form of grain. Both of these developments had occurred by 2000 BC. Originally money was a form of receipting grain stored in temple granaries in ancient Egypt and Mesopotamia.
This first stage of currency, where metals were used to represent stored value, and symbols to represent commodities, formed the basis of trade in the Fertile Crescent for over 1500 years. However, the collapse of the Near Eastern trading system pointed to a flaw: in an era where there was no place that was safe to store value, the value of a circulating medium could only be as sound as the forces that defended that store. Trade could only reach as far as the credibility of that military. By the late Bronze Age, however, a series of international treaties had established safe passage for merchants around the Eastern Mediterranean, spreading from Minoan Crete and Mycenae in the North West to Elam and Bahrein in the South East. Although it is not known what functioned as a currency to facilitate these exchanges, it is thought that ox-hide shaped ingots of copper, produced in Cyprus may have functioned as a currency.
It is thought that the increase in piracy and raiding associated with the Bronze Age collapse, possibly produced by the Peoples of the Sea, brought this trading system to an end. It was only with the recovery of Phoenician trade in the ninth and tenth centuries, that saw a return to prosperity, and the appearance of real coinage, possibly first in Anatolia with Croesus of Lydia and subsequently with the Greeks and Persians.
In Africa many forms of value store have been used including beads, ingots, ivory, various forms of weapons, livestock, the manilla currency, ochre and other earth oxides, and so on. The manilla rings of West Africa were one of the currencies used from the 15th century onwards to buy and sell slaves. African currency is still notable for its variety, and in many places various forms of barter still apply.Coinage
These factors led to the shift of the store of value being the metal itself: at first silver, then both silver and gold. Metals were mined, weighed, and stamped into coins. This was to assure the individual taking the coin that he was getting a certain known weight of precious metal. Coins could be counterfeited, but they also created a new unit of account, which helped lead to banking. Archimedes' principle was that the next link in currency occurred: coins could now be easily tested for their fine weight of metal, and thus the value of a coin could be determined, even if it had been shaved, debased or otherwise tampered with (see Numismatics).
In most major economies using coinage, copper, silver and gold formed three tiers of coins. Gold coins were used for large purchases, payment of the military and backing of state activities. Silver coins were used for large, but common, transactions, and as a unit of account for taxes, dues, contracts and fealty, while copper coins represented the coinage of common transaction. This system had been used in ancient India since the time of the Mahajanapadas. In Europe, this system worked through the medieval period because there was virtually no new gold, silver or copper introduced through mining or conquest. Thus the overall ratios of the three coinages remained roughly equivalent.
Era of hard and credit money
In premodern China, the need for credit and for circulating a medium that was less of a burden than exchanging thousands of copper coins led to the introduction of paper money, commonly known today as banknotes. This economic phenomenon was a slow and gradual process that took place from the late Tang Dynasty (618–907) into the Song Dynasty (960–1279). It began as a means for merchants to exchange heavy coinage for receipts of deposit issued as promissory notes from shops of wholesalers, notes that were valid for temporary use in a small regional territory. In the 10th century, the Song Dynasty government began circulating these notes amongst the traders in their monopolized salt industry. The Song government granted several shops the sole right to issue banknotes, and in the early 12th century the government finally took over these shops to produce state-issued currency. Yet the banknotes issued were still regionally-valid and temporary; it was not until the mid 13th century that a standard and uniform government issue of paper money was made into an acceptable nationwide currency. The already widespread methods of woodblock printing and then Bi Sheng's movable type printing by the 11th century was the impetus for the massive production of paper money in premodern China.
At around the same time in the medieval Islamic world, a vigorous monetary economy was created during the 7th–12th centuries on the basis of the expanding levels of circulation of a stable high-value currency (the dinar). Innovations introduced by Muslim economists, traders and merchants include the earliest uses of credit,[1] cheques, promissory notes,[2] savings accounts, transactional accounts, loaning, trusts, exchange rates, the transfer of credit and debt,[3] and banking institutions for loans and deposits.[4]
In Europe paper money was first introduced in Sweden in 1661. Sweden was rich in copper, thus, because of copper's low value, extraordinarily big coins (often weighing several kilograms) had to be made. Because the coin was so big, it was probably more convenient to carry a note stating your possession of such a coin than to carry the coin itself.
The advantages of paper currency were numerous: it reduced transport of gold and silver, and thus lowered the risks; it made loaning gold or silver at interest easier, since the specie (gold or silver) never left the possession of the lender until someone else redeemed the note; and it allowed for a division of currency into credit and specie backed forms. It enabled the sale of stock in joint stock companies, and the redemption of those shares in paper.
However, these advantages held within them disadvantages. First, since a note has no intrinsic value, there was nothing to stop issuing authorities from printing more of it than they had specie to back it with. Second, because it created money that did not exist, it increased inflationary pressures, a fact observed by David Hume in the 18th century. The result is that paper money would often lead to an inflationary bubble, which could collapse if people began demanding hard money, causing the demand for paper notes to fall to zero. The printing of paper money was also associated with wars, and financing of wars, and therefore regarded as part of maintaining a standing army.
For these reasons, paper currency was held in suspicion and hostility in Europe and America. It was also addictive, since the speculative profits of trade and capital creation were quite large. Major nations established mints to print money and mint coins, and branches of their treasury to collect taxes and hold gold and silver stock.
Legal tender era
With the creation of central banks, currency underwent several significant changes. During both the coinage and credit money eras the number of entities which had the ability to coin or print money was quite large. One could, literally, have "a license to print money"; many nobles had the right of coinage. Royal colonial companies, such as the Massachusetts Bay Company or the British East India Company could issue notes of credit—money backed by the promise to pay later, or exchangeable for payments owed to the company itself. This led to continual instability of the value of money. The exposure of coins to debasement and shaving, however, presented the same problem in another form: with each pair of hands a coin passed through, its value grew less.
The solution which evolved beginning in the late 18th century and through the 19th century was the creation of a central monetary authority which had a virtual monopoly on issuing currency, and whose notes had to be accepted for "all debts public and private". The creation of a truly national currency, backed by the government's store of precious metals, and enforced by their military and governmental control over an area was, in its time, extremely controversial. Advocates of the old system of Free Banking repealed central banking laws, or slowed down the adoption of restrictions on local currency. (See Gold standard for a fuller discussion of the creation of a standard gold based currency).
At this time both silver and gold were considered legal tender, and accepted by governments for taxes. However, the instability in the ratio between the two grew over the course of the 19th century, with the increase both in supply of these metals, particularly silver, and of trade. This is called bimetallism and the attempt to create a bimetallic standard where both gold and silver backed currency remained in circulation occupied the efforts of inflationists. Governments at this point could use currency as an instrument of policy, printing paper currency such as the United States Greenback, to pay for military expenditures. They could also set the terms at which they would redeem notes for specie, by limiting the amount of purchase, or the minimum amount that could be redeemed.
By 1900, most of the industrializing nations were on some form of gold standard, with paper notes and silver coins constituting the circulating medium. Governments too followed Gresham's Law: keeping gold and silver paid, but paying out in notes.
Paper money era
Currency need to satisfy 3 functions to become true representation of transactions between living beings.
1. Medium of exchange 2. Store of value 3. Delivery of value (energy)
For paper currencies to be valid the issuer should be able to deliver "value / energy" on redemption of currency, otherwise paper currency has no mechanism to satisfy the "3. Delivery of value" function to be real currency. This means that Reserve Banks should have "energy reserves" to be called Reserve Banks. Reserve banks without energy reserves is the biggest scam in the modern economic scenario.
Main articles: Banknote and Fiat currency
A banknote (more commonly known as a bill in the United States and Canada) is a type of currency, and commonly used as legal tender in many jurisdictions. With coins, banknotes make up the cash form of all modern money
Modern currencies
To find out which currency is used in a particular country, check list of circulating currencies.
Currently, the International Organization for Standardization has introduced a three-letter system of codes (ISO 4217) to define currency (as opposed to simple names or currency signs), in order to remove the confusion that there are dozens of currencies called the dollar and many called the franc. Even the pound is used in nearly a dozen different countries, all, of course, with wildly differing values. In general, the three-letter code uses the ISO 3166-1 country code for the first two letters and the first letter of the name of the currency (D for dollar, for instance) as the third letter.
The International Monetary Fund uses a variant system when referring to national currencies.
Currency
A currency is a unit of exchange, facilitating the transfer of goods and/or services. It is one form of money, where money is anything that serves as a medium of exchange, a store of value, and a standard of value. A currency is the dominant medium of exchange. To facilitate trade between currency zones, there are exchange rates, which are the prices at which currencies (and the goods and services of individual currency zones) can be exchanged against each other. Currencies can be classified as either floating currencies or fixed currencies based on their exchange rate regime. In common usage, currency sometimes refers to only paper money, as in coins and currency, but this is misleading. Coins and paper money are both forms of currency.
In most cases, each country has monopoly control over the supply and production of its own currency. Member countries of the European Union's Economic and Monetary Union are a notable exception to this rule, as they have ceded control of monetary policy to the European Central Bank.
In cases where a country does have control of its own currency, that control is exercised either by a central bank or by a Ministry of Finance. In either case, the institution that has control of monetary policy is referred to as the monetary authority. Monetary authorities have varying degrees of autonomy from the governments that create them. In the United States, the Federal Reserve System operates without direct interference from the legislative or executive branches. It is important to note that a monetary authority is created and supported by its sponsoring government, so independence can be reduced or revoked by the legislative or executive authority that creates it. However, in practical terms, the revocation of authority is not likely. In almost all Western countries, the monetary authority is largely independent from the government.
Several countries can use the same name, each for their own currency (e.g. Canadian dollars and United States dollars), several countries can use the same currency (e.g. the euro), or a country can declare the currency of another country to be legal tender. For example, Panama and El Salvador have declared U.S. currency to be legal tender, and from 1791–1857, Spanish silver coins were legal tender in the United States. At various times countries have either re-stamped foreign coins, or used currency board issuing one note of currency for each note of a foreign government held, as Ecuador currently does.
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
Nuclear deal history
New Delhi (PTI): The Indo-US Nuclear Deal has remained a contentious affair from the word go. The July 18, 2005 Joint Statement by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US President George W Bush gave the world the first glimpse of a path-breaking deal that could end India's nuclear isolation.
Singh had hit it off well with the US leader and America was ready for the landmark deal that virtually gives de-facto nuclear weapons state status was the official line. But the Joint Statement itself saw Opposition parties as also the Left parties, then the outside supporters of the Congress-led coalition, raising serious doubts over the deal. In fact, former Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee fired the first salvo raising questions.
The Left parties, which have ideological problems over strategic ties with the US, were also quick to react and questioned the government's decision. The intent to lift the four-decade-old nuclear emabargo and agreeing for the separation of civil and military nuclear facilities in India, set off a flurry of activities both here and in the US to clinch a "landmark" deal for Bush and Singh.
The US had agreed to change its domestic laws which banned supply of any nuclear fuel and technology to India and herald in a "unique" cooperation with New Delhi "not to be replicated to other countries." As officials of the two countries met to take the deal forward, opposition BJP and the Left parties kept up pressure on the government while in the US the Bush administration faced the heat from the non-proliferationists, who were of the the opinion that the agreement would make the NPT regime redundant.
In March, 2006 the Prime Minister announced the Separation Plan for civilian and military atomic reactors, which along with the July 18 joint statement formed the basis of the India-US civilian nuclear cooperation agreement. Government's actions on the foreign policy front, particularly its stand on Iran in the international fora, came up for close scrutiny on the domestic front and when India voted with the US on the issue of clamping sanctions on Tehran.
The Opposition and the Left parties accused the government of surrendering its right to conduct independent foreign policy in order to clinch the deal. India's endorsement of a Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) statement two years ago backing Iran's right to civil nuclear energy subject to its international obligations also drew criticism from the US. In the meantime on November 16, 2006 the US Congress passed the Henry J. Hyde United States-India Peaceful Atomic Energy Cooperation Act of 2006 which granted the US administration a waiver from Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act to resume nuclear commerce with India.
References to Iran, nuclear testing in the Hyde Act triggered off yet another political storm here with BJP mounting attack on the government for "surrendering" the right to conduct nuclear tests in the future. The Left parties attacked the government for getting closer to "capitalist" US.
The next significant step was the clinching of the 123 Agreement by the US and Indian officials on July 27, 2007. A few weeks later, on August 13 Prime Minister Singh defended the accord and his governement in Parliament saying the country retained the strategic autonomy and sovereign right to conduct a nuclear test.
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